A Free-Market Energy Blog

Power Hungry: The Myths of “Green” Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future—by Robert Bryce (nutrition for energy appetites)

By Jon Boone -- April 27, 2010

[Editor note: Bryce’s Power Hungry, released today, is his second book on energy after Gusher of Lies and fourth book overall.]

In his brand new book Power Hungry, energy journalist and Austin apiarist Robert Bryce marshals many numbers to plainly show how modern culture exacts power from energy to save time, increase wealth, and raise standards of living. Bryce also dispenses common sense to citizens and policy makers for an improved environment, a more productive economy, and a more enlightened civil society.

Inspired by enegy writings of Rockefeller University’s Jesse Ausubel, and the University of Manitoba’s prolific Vaclav Smil, he makes the case for continuing down the path of de-carbonizing our machine fuels—a process begun two hundred years ago when we turned from wood to fossil fuels and huge reservoirs of impounded water. As the world’s population continues to urbanize, people will inevitably demand cleaner, healthier, environmentally sensitive energy choices.

Today, the world uses fossil fuels (oil, gas, and coal) for approximately 86 percent of its energy, getting a lot of bang for its buck. Bryce offers convincing evidence that, over the next several generations, particularly since broad energy transformations require much time and financial investment, relatively cleaner burning natural gas will provide a bridge to pervasive use of nuclear power—“ the only always-on, no-carbon source that can replace significant amounts of coal in our electricity generation portfolio.” And if nuclear ultimately becomes the centerpiece for the electricity sector, which constitutes about 40 percent of our total energy use, this development would accelerate the de-carbonization of the transportation and heating sectors as well.

His narrative transcends the current climate change debate. He thinks the evidence on either side is equivocal, at best provisional, and, even if it could be proven conclusively that humans were responsible for precipitously warming the earth by producing a surfeit of carbon dioxide, there is little that could be done about the situation now that would be consequential or practical, except embrace imaginative adaptation approaches.

Four “Imperatives”

Bryce organizes his ideas around four interrelated “Imperatives” that serve as a prime motif for human history and explain much contemporary circumstance: power density, energy density, scale and cost. He shows that, although energy is the ability to do work, what people really crave is the ability to control the rate at which work gets done—power. Performing work faster means more time to do something else. This begets an appetitive feedback loop, where more power unleashes more time to produce more power. As the scale of this process increases, costs are reduced, making what power creates more affordable.

In terms of economic efficiency and improved ecosystems, producing the most power in the smallest space at a scale affordable by all is what present and future enterprise should ensure.

The power density of fossil fuels, expressed in watts, BTUs, or horsepower, has been the lynchpin of our modernity, although they will eventually become depleted, perhaps over a few centuries or much sooner, as various peak oil and coal scenarios suggest. (Bryce shows that worldwide oil’s market share has fallen over the last 35 years and the rate of decline will likely continue.) And they do have negative environmental consequences.

Particularly coal, with such environmentally treacherous extraction techniques as strip mining/mountaintop removal, and toxic emissions. But their overall benefits at present outweigh the negatives in a comprehensive cost benefit analysis. Which is why they’re so popular.

Hydrocarbons lift people out of poverty, literally empowering them to better health, wealth, and productivity. “The key attribute of hydrocarbons is their reliability,” a precondition for coordinated economic and social convergence, which is the very hallmark of modern life. Planning to replace their capacity successfully will demand great ingenuity and the most advanced technology—not hyped-up premodern gadgetry like industrial wind technology.

Energy Appetites

Over the first seven chapters of his book, Bryce lays out the gargantuan scale of our energy consumption, bound on the one side by the existence of nearly seven billion people and the thirst for increasingly denser power supplies on the other. He shows why, if oil didn’t exist, we’d have to invent it. Deploying helpful charts and graphs throughout, he demonstrates that we will not, indeed cannot, quit using hydrocarbons any time soon, since our daily consumption is equivalent to 226 million barrels of oil, equal to the total daily output of twenty-seven Saudi Arabias.

The world consumes nearly 7 billion horsepower a day, albeit unevenly, since Americans consume energy at 18 times the rate of people in Pakistan and India. America leads the world in reliable horsepower and produces about 74 percent of the primary energy it consumes. Moreover, it has more hydrocarbon reserves than any other nation. Yet, despite (or, perhaps, because of) all this power, the United States leads the world in energy efficiency and per capital carbon emission reductions over the last fifteen years.

Myths of Green Energy

So why are so many willing to trade the high power-density of coal, natural gas, and oil for such unreliable, low power-density sources as wind and solar?

Part II, The Myths of Green Energy, attempts to answer this question. Bryce looks closely at the claims for wind especially and debunks them all as mainly the result of snake oil, a too-gullible public suffused in scientific illiteracy, “happy talk” from media (viz, Thomas Friedman), and self serving bombast from industry pundits like T. Boone Pickens. Thinking that wind technology, for example, could put a dent in the use of fossil fuels as an “alternate” energy source is just plain goofy, akin to believing that a book of matches could melt a glacier. Believing that corn and cellulosic ethanol are friends of the environment and consumers is downright Orwellian. In truth, they reduce efficiency and performance while damaging machine engines, and raise the cost of food by shrinking food supply while depleting millions of acres of soil and siphoning off a sea of water. For shame.

Bryce reinforces the theme of his previous book, Gusher of Lies. The energy business is so vast and intricately global that it dooms any nation’s quest for energy independence. Those who think more hybrid cars, wind machines, and solar cells will free the United States from its dependence on imports will be shocked to discover that those technologies hinge on rare earth elements obtainable almost exclusively in China. Which fact largely explains why the Chinese are rapidly becoming a dominant manufacturer and exporter of “green” technologies.

Challenging Flimflam

Bryce relishes challenging flimflam. Power Hungry demolishes the notion that oil is dirty; that carbon capture/sequestration schemes can be globally effective; that cap-and-trade/taxation/renewable energy credit ideas for reducing carbon dioxide emissions can do anything but worsen the situation at the expense of tax and ratepayers; that plug-in electric cars will soon revolutionize the transportation sector; and that efficiency, desirable as it is as a means of conservation, can change the world.

Bryce’s conclusions about better policy follow the logic of Sherlock Holmes: “When you have eliminated all which is impossible, then whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.” By eliminating the imposters and exposing the disingenuous, he is then able to engage in rational discourse about the genuinely probable technologies that will in future slake our vast craving for power.

He states the problem in a way that suggests solutions. If society seeks cleaner air and water, if consumers seek cheaper energy, if environmentalists seek open vistas and large swaths of untrammeled nature, if politicians seek a significant reduction of greenhouse gasses while meeting the expanding power requirements of modernity—then the future of energy conversion for electricity must hinge on increased use of natural gas in the near term while the world prepares for nuclear power over the long haul. Given the magnitude of the situation, anything else is hope. And prayer.

Recounting the sorry recent history of natural gas supply, Bryce explains how pandering politicians and the coal industry combined to reduce its availability, making the public think the resource had been exhausted. However, new discoveries of extensive shale deposits in the United States, along with improvements in extraction technologies, now make natural gas much more available. That it burns 50 percent cleaner than coal, emits no toxic particulates, and is so versatile, make it the ideal transitional fossil fuel for the next generation or so. As more supplies become available, costs will continue to drop, making natural gas more appealing to consumers. To protect against damaging the ground water and pollutant leakage through gas lines, the industry would have to be carefully regulated, particularly in remote areas during the extraction process.

Looking for Mr. Green

Still, as good as they are, carbon-based fuels, even those as beneficial as oil and natural gas, continue to put us at odds with our potential for informed stewardship of the planet. Our best scientists tell us we must do better in achieving goals of sustainable biodiversity and healthier ecosystems. To do so, we should sooner than later move beyond sloganeering and heavy reliance on fossil fuels.

As Bryce says, “nuclear goes beyond green.” It provides two million times the power density of fossil fuels and can be contained in a small area, preserving the countryside. Concerns about its safety because of exaggerated news accounts of the damage inflicted by the Three Mile Island/Chernobyl accidents, along with the dramaturgy wrought by Hollywood, have allowed fear mongering to prevail over sound science. Despite not building a single nuclear plant in thirty years, the US still has more nuclear facilities than any nation in the world. US nuclear plants have a capacity factor of 92 percent, significantly better than any other generating system. Even though nuclear has only 11 percent of the nation’s installed capacity, it nonetheless satisfies 20 percent of demand.

The PJM grid (the nation’s largest, with 51 million customers) uses nuclear for 35 percent of its generation, and has done so safely for over twenty years.

For the last thirty years, France has employed nuclear for 80 percent of its electricity consumption. The French reprocess most of the spent fuel, capturing the uranium and other materials so that they can be sent through the reactors again, reducing “the volume of waste by a factor of two or three.” Moreover, Bryce highlights the prospects for a fusion-fission transmutation system in the near future that would create additional fuel for electricity and medical applications. It would also substantially reduce radioactive half-life time—while preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons.

The potential for newer, smaller, safer nuclear power plants is enormous, and Power Hungry explores a range of what is probable. Today, the capital costs of large nuclear plants are very high, but they can run continuously without interruption day and night year after year. Their long-term maintenance costs are relatively low. Compared with building a large hydro dam, however, which has enormous negative environmental consequences for entire watersheds, construction costs for nuclear are a bargain. Contrasted with the incredibly high capital costs of wind projects, which provide only sporadic energy and no modern power performance, nuclear is incomparable, for there is no apples-to-apples comparison to be made with wind. How can one compare the best performing car ever made with a clunker that never works as desired?

Taking on Renewables

Bryce brings his narrative sweep to a conclusion by calling for rethinking what the notion of green should mean. In particular, he urges that environmentalism return to the days when those commanding the movement revered hard facts, treasured good science, and understood that culture was part of nature, not mystically outside of it. They knew the “hard truth” that “energy production is not pretty, cheap, or easy.” Although they may have been initially seduced by the allure of “renewable energy,” they would have finally understood that the whole concept of renewables is problematic, since nothing is continually renewable; they only appear that way from the short perspective of human time.

As many have discovered about the only widely effective renewable, impounded hydro, simply because a source of power is clean-burning does not make it “green.” Informed environmentalists should know that the current push for wind technology is based on the mistaken belief that wind is greener than hydrocarbons such as oil and natural gas.

Power Hungry also urges renewed support for the International Atomic Energy Agency; putting the skids on the ethanol boondoggle by short-circuiting Iowa’s stranglehold on presidential primaries; pushing for greater scientific/engineering literacy and less political grandstanding in public policy; banning mountaintop removal coal extraction techniques; and imposing coordinated reality on national energy policy. The policy goal should be to promote “cheap abundant energy” consistent with the protection of sensitive habitat, vulnerable species of flora and fauna, and a more diverse and empowered planet.

Wind Scam

The book covers so much ground across so many topics that it is unfair to quibble about details that are not fully accounted for. Bryce gets the important ideas right. He spends much time trimming the sails of the industrial wind fandango, in part because he knows it is inconsequential as an energy source but also because public dollars invested in it represent dollars not spent on effective power. He couldn’t find a shred of empirical evidence that wind has been responsible for offsetting greenhouse gas emissions in the production of electricity—or that it has contributed to any reductions in fossil fuel use. Even in the wind poster nation of Denmark. Instead, he found only “projections” offered up by industry trade organizations or government agencies beholden to wind success that were uncontaminated by reality—much like college football polls.

Most importantly, he tells why wind can’t offset meaningful CO2 emissions or replace fossil fuels. To do this, he introduces the work of engineers like Australian Peter Lang, Canadian Kent Hawkins, and Britain’s Jim Oswald, who demonstrate how wind’s existential volatility and unreliability must make everyone and everything involved with wind integration work much harder just to stand still—greatly increasing both cost and thermal activity in the process. Wind is a fuel supplement that itself requires a lot of supplementation, since no one can be sure how much of its capacity will be available at any future time. A wind plant’s output unpredictably bounces around between zero and its maximum possible yield.

The challenge is how to reconcile the square peg of firm reliability with the round hole of wind’s fluttering caprice. Since it must match supply perfectly with demand at all times, no grid can allow wind volatility to be loosed by itself; it must be entangled with proactive, highly dynamic conventional generation to make its capacity whole. More than 70 percent of any wind project’s maximum capability must come from reliable, flexible conventional generation, typically natural gas units working inefficiently to do so. These inefficiencies accumulate quickly, eventually consuming more fuel in the same way that an automobile does in stop-and-go traffic.

As Lang shows, even the best possible thermal entanglement with wind, comprised of several types of natural gas systems, can save only 15 percent more CO2 than can be achieved with the natural gas systems alone, without any wind. Inefficient use of natural gas systems with wind, such as responsive open cycle units normally used only at peak demand, would save no net carbon dioxide emissions. As Hawkins shows, using a combination of coal and natural gas for wind balancing results in more carbon emissions than would be the case without any wind. Any fossil fuel saved when it is sporadically displaced by wind is often consumed in even greater volume as it is called upon to compensate for wind’s relentless skittering.

More than 2500 skyscraper-sized wind turbines, spread over 500 miles of terrain, and a passel of natural gas units at 90 percent of wind’s maximum output—and hundreds of miles of new transmission lines/voltage regulation—would be required to provide parity with the capacity of a single 1500MW nuclear facility.

Bruce makes vividly clear that wind is neither clean nor green—and is in the hunt solely because of massive government support, which is 23 times the per kilowatt-hour subsidy given for fossil-fired plants that produce copious reliable capacity. It provides only sporadic energy—not modern power performance. Wind is not only inimical to all the primary goals of modern electricity production—reliability, affordability, security; it also actively subverts them. It is not cutting edge, effective, and progressive; rather, it is antediluvian, dysfunctional, and uncivil.

In many ways, wind resembles the character Major Major Major Major, made so indelible by Joseph Heller in his immortal Catch-22. Like wind, even when the Major was in, he was out. Even more apropos is the connection with Major Major’s father, a Calvinist alfalfa farmer who received a public subsidy for every acre of crop he did not grow, using the money to buy more land on which to not grow alfalfa. He thought such practice was divinely ordained, proclaiming, “You reap what you sow,” while maintaining that federal aid to anyone but farmers was “creeping socialism.” With only a few word changes, this is the line trumpeted by the American Wind Energy Association on behalf of its limited liability companies.

Spawned, then supported, by government welfare measures at considerable public expense, wind produces no meaningful product or service yet provides enormous profit to a few wealthy investors, primarily multinational energy companies in search of increased bottom lines through tax avoidance. Wind does reap what it sows, masquerading as a power source to hide its real identity as an Enronesque tax shelter generator.


Power Hungry sets the stage for an inquiry about why wind has become so politically attractive. Gullibility and dimwittery are surely part of the explanation, as Bryce suggests. But the real causes may have more to do with the nefarious acquiescence of our regulatory and government agencies—combined with how the power industry itself has embraced wind. Why aren’t utilities in general, and regulatory agencies and grid controllers in particular, being held accountable for what they’re doing to ratepayers by supporting generation that must destabilize the electricity supply/transmission system? To what extent are corporations that are heavily involved with coal, natural gas, and oil also involved with wind? The bipartisan dive to the bottom now enabling the wind scam is worthy of another book.

As it is, Power Hungry provides a grand tour of our energy landscape in the best journalistic tradition of serving the public good, exposing the cant of received wisdom and using the authority and weight of good numbers to put ideas into proper perspective. Bryce’s numbers provide giant shoulders upon which to stand, allowing us to see farther and better, increasing our knowledge and improving the odds for institutional wisdom. There are few things more important to the world’s life, liberty, and happiness than an enhanced ability to convert abundant energy into high power at affordable cost. Robert Bryce, with buoyant bonhomie, marks the way.


  1. Austin  

    This is absolute misinformation. Please see my colleague completely DEBUNK, fossil fuel cheerleader Robert Bryce in this article.


  2. Jon Boone  

    By all means, as recommended by “Austin, ” do read Matt Wasson’s critique about the wind mess in Denmark and Germany to see real disinformation in action. It might be useful to point out that neither country allows wind performance data to be dispassionately examined via appropriately scaled chronological load dispatch analyses, measuring the heat rates involved with wind integration. The reason for such opacity: wind performance is considered proprietarily confidential. How convenient.

    “In 1999, Denmark’s daily coal consumption was the equivalent of about 94,400 barrels of oil per day. By 2007, despite a 136 percent increase in the amount of electricity produced from wind, Denmark’s coal consumption was exactly the same as it was back in 1999.” Bryce’s quote here is indicative of the facts he brings to bear on the Danish wind situation, which many will try to muddy, since bringing Danish wind enterprise to Uncle Sugar has become big business and is evidently so important to the Danish economy.

    Here are some other statistical facts. Denmark has achieved about a 6% overall reduction in fossil fuel use since 1990 due to a variety of factors–a decrease in coal use because of a substantial increase in natural gas usage (-40% coal; +125% ng), combined with the building of much more efficient coal fired CHPs units, as Wasson suggests. At the same time, the current economic meltdown has created a temporary decline in demand, so that slightly less supply is needed–at present. Moreover, Denmark has nearly doubled its importation of hydro and increased its biomass (from corn) from 0 to 4%.

    There is nothing to tie any steady state decline in the production of coal for the last ten years to increases in wind production. Quite the contrary. Chronological load dispatch analyses at 15-minute intervals in West Denmark would likely show that wind might even be a reason that more coal reductions haven’t occurred. Without the substantial Scandinavian hydro pool into which Denmark can dump most of its wind generation, Denmark’s wind experiment would be awash in CO2.

    As I looked at the percentage of fuel use for electricity in Germany from 2000-2008, I noted that combined coal use declined over this time by 7% (from 51-44%), while gas increased 4% (from 9-13%) and biomass (from corn) increased from zero to 4%. Nuclear use also declined by 7%. However, the latter power source was the principle means of keeping CO2 emissions at bay in the system.

    The fact that wind increased from 1 to 6% of the mix during this time does not show that it was responsible for any CO2 reductions, giving the requirement to tame its volatility. What was a bit curious about these overall statistics was the lack of clarity about the category, “others” in the mix, which increased from 7-10%. I’m assuming this may be hydro in some combination, which, if this is the case, would easily, in tandem with natural gas, explain how wind volatility might be contained with minimum consequence for increased CO2 emissions, although there still would be consequence.

    Despite all the installed wind and solar, the country has only reduced is fossil-fired production by 3%, while also reducing its nuclear generation by 7%. By increasing its biomass fourfold over the last ten years (biomass emits CO2, although, as the pundits say, it’s carbon neutral), and introducing all that wind skitter to a system that mainly has thermal generators to keep it in balance, inefficiently intensifying the thermal behavior on its grids, a proper accounting of all variables would likely demonstrate that Germany has actually increased its internal CO2 emissions in the production of electricity.

    If anything, Bryce pulled several punches in his commentary about wind in Denmark. His bottom line, though, is right on: Wind “doesn’t displace power plants, it only adds to them.”


  3. Robert Bradley Jr.  

    Another book review in the Wall Street Journal today by Trevor Butterworth, “The Wrong Way to Get to Green,” is worth reading: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703465204575208132724528718.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEFTTopOpinion


  4. Jon Boone  

    One additional response to Wassen’s AWEA-tinged remarks. The problem with wind is not just its intermittence or its unpredictability, which are indeed problematic but not insurmountable, as Wasson and AWEA spinners are wont to say. Rather, it’s wind’s relentless variability, manifest because any power from wind is produced as the cube of the wind speed. Slight changes in the wind speed create large changes in the amount of energy produced. A lot of conventional generators are intermittent, because of operator choice. But they are never unpredictable.

    This continuous wind skittering is anathema to grid reliability, for it is above and beyond demand flux. Even if it could be forecast much better than today, which is highly dubious, making it more predictable, the existential variable delivery would have to be dealt with, in highly inefficient ways. In the best tail-wagging-the-dog, Rube Goldberg tradition, the “problem” can be remedied. But not without a lot of trouble, which increases consumer cost and CO2 emissions, as Lang, Hawkins, Le Pair, and even the recent Bentek/Colorado study has shown.

    Chopping down the mountains of Appalachia, as Wasson recommends be done to accommodate limited liability wind company ambitions, reveals a mindset that I sought to address in my recent piece on wind and The Sierra Club.

    To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, such ambitions know the cost of very little and the value of nothing.


  5. Cynthia Hardy Wadsworth  

    Austin, Why do you not mention that you have 2000 acres of land in Western NC as you mentioned in your blog on Appalachian Voices front porch? Would that not explain your push for a worthless technology that is driven by tax payer funds?

    Isn’t it your goal to green your pockets with those tax payer funds? You tell people that you do not support blowing up mountains. I have explained to you that topographical features of the mountains are blasted away to ram in this metal trash. Make up your mind Austin, do you support protecting the mountains or blowing them up? If you are so sure of what you are supporting, then why do you decline to debate those that are opposed to commercial wind? You have been asked to debate the issue and we have offered to arrange the debate in your back yard. Why so NIMBY or NIABY about debating Austin?
    Asheville Citizen-Times http://goo.gl/UOsG Appalachian Voices supports #MTR for wind turbines. Blasting off topographical features of #mtns supported by Appalachian Voices to ram in wind turbines.


  6. Charles  

    Unfortunately the contributor Austin has detracted from the article by Bryce which in my opinion was well written with excellent supported references.

    The attempt by Austin to describe fossil fuel use in an energy system which is not only drawing from other countries, but also many other forms of generated energy, is gullible and naive in the extreme.

    In fact, it is these unsupported arguments which do so much damage when uninformed readers come across them, but they also support an industry which has no interests in those unfortunate electricity users who are being gouged and extorted via rent-seeking from stupid government legislation to provide windfall profits to these vested interests, with generally a negative outcome to the environment.

    In Australia we have just seen our federal govrnment give up on the idea of an ETS (thankfully), but are now promising the “mother of all renewable energy schemes” which will be based on wind and solar.

    So, the battle far from being over begins again, and articles such as this will form the basis of the resistance to this new stupidity.


  7. Ajax Eastman  

    Robert Bryce’s “Power Hungry” is a must read for our president, Salazar, and all of the politicians, national NGO’s from NRDC to the Sierra Club who have been cheer leading “Greed” Power, especially wind.


  8. Five Myths about “Green” Energy | Crowhill Weblog  

    […] here’s another good article about Bryce’s […]


  9. Klaus Kaiser  

    In a similar vein, but more encompassing though less detailed, my new book:

    CONVENIENT MYTHS: the green revolution – perceptions, politics, and facts

    Best regards,
    Klaus Kaiser


  10. nofreewind  

    Do you want to see the complete “insanity” of green energy.
    Here, http://premium.fileden.com/premium/2009/6/11/2474018/nofreewind/solar_ripoff.pdf ,
    is a proposal for a solar plant for an industrial building. The white text on black is mine. You can see this solar project is nothing but a tax avoidance SCAM on the taxpayers. It is incredible that our legislators are passing laws so that a company can put up a solar system and avoid more in taxes than the energy the solar system produces.


  11. greendiyenergy  

    There definitely needs to be more open discussion like this about the real truth about green energy. Companies too often get a pass and it’s the taxpayers that are getting the shaft. And where are the big oil companies in all of this? I think they want everything to be how it currently is so they can continue to line their pockets.


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    […] lecture the president about energy density (as explained by Robert Bryce in his excellent new book, Power Hungry) realities between energies and […]


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    […] journalist Robert Bryce, whose latest book, Power Hungry, admirably foretells an electricity future anchored by natural gas from Marcellus Shale that will […]


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