NOAA’s 2020 Prediction Bust: “U. S. Winter Outlook: Cooler North, Warmer South”

By -- July 10, 2025 No Comments

Editor’s Note: Master Resource’s founder and editor, Rob Bradley, is currently struggling with the aftermath of torrential flooding in the Texas Hill Country. Until he can return to work, he has asked me to post “classic” MR entries. Yesterday, he called in to suggest the following blog post would be a suitable classic. It ran initially at MR on March 11, 2021. —Roger Donway, Managing Editor

By way of introduction, Rob writes: “To critics, NOAA not only provides information but misinformation based on climate models and attribution studies. The post below provides the example of NOAA’s prediction leading into the Texas Winter of 2020–2021.”

“NOAA’s timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity,” said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D.,

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“Save NOAA Stop DOGE” Climate Protest

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- February 28, 2025 12 Comments

Want to know why the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration needs a massive downsizing? Because it is a political organization masquerading as a weather forecast center. And the climate lobby is upset at the clean-up.

Monday between 10:00 am and noon eastern, the Chesapeake Climate Action Network / Action Fund is hosting a “Hands off NOAA!” rally at NOAA’s headquarters in Silver Springs, MD. Here is CCAN’s announcement:

The Trump Administration and Elon Musk continue to recklessly demonize dedicated federal workers who provide critical services everyday. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) who provide critical services from the National Weather Service to seafood safety is not immune from DOGE’s intimidation tactics to fulfill the promise of Project 2025 to eliminate NOAA.

But we are NOT going to sit back and watch.

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“U.S. Winter Outlook: Cooler North, Warmer South” (NOAA’s prediction bust)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- March 11, 2021 2 Comments

“NOAA’s timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity,” said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D., acting NOAA administrator. (below)

Cold extremes decrease and warm extremes increase in a warmer world, and cold extremes tend to be more sensitive to global warming than the warm ones.” (emphasis added) Science Bulletin, below

Humility in the face of unknowns is a worthy attribute. And when it comes to the Earth’s climate, in the whole and regionally, a prediction can be worse than no prediction.

Enter climate models, the Department of Commerce’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and politics. And a very bad result for the South this winter. The lack of weatherization in Texas for traditional power plants, in particular, might well have been influenced by the climate narrative of warmer winters.

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No Global Warming Pause! (NOAA study captures media, including WSJ)

By E. Calvin Beisner -- June 8, 2015 2 Comments

That’s how most of the media are treating a new study, anyway. Even the Wall Street Journal ran a news piece titled “Study Finds No Pause in Global Warming.”

The source? “Possible artifacts of data bias in the recent global surface warming hiatus,” published this week in Science, by long-time global warming alarmist Tom Karl et al.

Abstract:

Much study has been devoted to the possible causes of an apparent decrease in the upward trend of global surface temperatures since 1998, a phenomenon that has been dubbed the global warming “hiatus.” Here we present an updated global surface temperature analysis that reveals that global trends are higher than reported by the IPCC, especially in recent decades, and that the central estimate for the rate of warming during the first 15 years of the 21st century is at least as great as the last half of the 20th century.

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NOAA & NASA-GISS: Helping the Warming Narrative

By James Rust -- February 20, 2015 13 Comments Continue Reading

Time to Defund Climate Models?

By Steve Goreham -- April 29, 2025 3 Comments Continue Reading

Unsettled Science: The Alarmists Want More Money (nope, time’s up)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- February 26, 2025 2 Comments Continue Reading

The Great Texas Blackout Revisited: Market Failure Not

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- February 14, 2025 2 Comments Continue Reading

Whales and Offshore Wind: Trump Time (Wojick has built a case)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- February 5, 2025 1 Comment Continue Reading

AMOC Alarmism Doesn’t Stick (Wunsch caution)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- January 23, 2025 7 Comments Continue Reading