“Our greatest primary task is to put people to work. This is no unsolvable problem if we face it wisely and courageously. It can be accomplished in part by direct recruiting by the Government itself, treating the task as we would treat the emergency of a war, but at the same time, through this employment, accomplishing greatly needed projects to stimulate and reorganize the use of our natural resources.”
– Franklin D. Roosevelt (1933)
“[The 1930s Great Depression and today’s Great Recession] were preceded by extraordinary expansions of bank credit, which fueled run-up’s in stock prices and real estate values…. The two economic crises also elicited similar (and equally counterproductive ) fiscal policy responses, combining substantial increases in federal spending, financed primarily by bollorwing, with higher taxes and more regulatory controls on the private sector.”
– William Shughard II, “The New Deal and Modern Memory,” Southern Economic Journal 2011, 77(3), p. 517.
The Green Jobs mantra coming from the White House is history in rhyme. FDR’s government jobs “to stimulate and reorganize the use of natural resources” is now government subsidies and mandates for more wind turbines and more solar panels. FDR expanded government jobs, taking resources away from the private sector to do it; Obama is fostering bubble industries ready to collapse when the public monies behind them do. (But is NOT all Obama: Texas Gov. George W. Bush helped the ailing U.S. wind industry more than anyone by signing the Enron Wind Corp.-sponsored state renewables manadate in 1989.)
FDR’s New Deal, and Hoover’s own ‘New Deal’ (Smoot-Hawley tariff, tax increases, high-wage guidelines), turned a depression into the Great Depression. And Bush/Obama, like Hoover/FDR eighty years before, has turned the recession into the Great Recession.
Obama is trying to pin an industrial renaissance and recovery on dilute energies that consumers have perennially rejected on grounds of extravagant cost and substandard reliability. The energy services from fossil fuels are what consumers demand, not that from wind, solar, and biofuels that are inferior in virtually every way. Energy density is an environment good–oil, gas, and coal win here too.
Worst still, Obama’s Energy Plan is Enron’s Energy Plan. Cap-and-trade, wind, solar, and engineering-over-economics energy efficiency: Ken Lay’s Enron did all of those things and lost money every year in each area. Yet this is the President’s “green’ dream for America today.
Here is Franklin D. Roosevelt’s inaugural address given in Washington, D.C. on March 4, 1933.
I am certain that my fellow Americans expect that on my induction into the Presidency I will address them with a candor and a decision which the present situation of our people impel. This is preeminently the time to speak the truth, the whole truth, frankly and boldly. Nor need we shrink from honestly facing conditions in our country today. This great Nation will endure as it has endured, will revive and will prosper. So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself—nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. In every dark hour of our national life a leadership of frankness and vigor has met with that understanding and support of the people themselves which is essential to victory. I am convinced that you will again give that support to leadership in these critical days.
In such a spirit on my part and on yours we face our common difficulties. They concern, thank God, only material things. Values have shrunken to fantastic levels; taxes have risen; our ability to pay has fallen; government of all kinds is faced by serious curtailment of income; the means of exchange are frozen in the currents of trade; the withered leaves of industrial enterprise lie on every side; farmers find no markets for their produce; the savings of many years in thousands of families are gone.
More important, a host of unemployed citizens face the grim problem of existence, and an equally great number toil with little return. Only a foolish optimist can deny the dark realities of the moment.
Yet our distress comes from no failure of substance. We are stricken by no plague of locusts. Compared with the perils which our forefathers conquered because they believed and were not afraid, we have still much to be thankful for. Nature still offers her bounty and human efforts have multiplied it. Plenty is at our doorstep, but a generous use of it languishes in the very sight of the supply. Primarily this is because the rulers of the exchange of mankind’s goods have failed, through their own stubbornness and their own incompetence, have admitted their failure, and abdicated. Practices of the unscrupulous money changers stand indicted in the court of public opinion, rejected by the hearts and minds of men.
True they have tried, but their efforts have been cast in the pattern of an outworn tradition. Faced by failure of credit they have proposed only the lending of more money. Stripped of the lure of profit by which to induce our people to follow their false leadership, they have resorted to exhortations, pleading tearfully for restored confidence. They know only the rules of a generation of self-seekers. They have no vision, and when there is no vision the people perish.
The money changers have fled from their high seats in the temple of our civilization. We may now restore that temple to the ancient truths. The measure of the restoration lies in the extent to which we apply social values more noble than mere monetary profit.
Happiness lies not in the mere possession of money; it lies in the joy of achievement, in the thrill of creative effort. The joy and moral stimulation of work no longer must be forgotten in the mad chase of evanescent profits. These dark days will be worth all they cost us if they teach us that our true destiny is not to be ministered unto but to minister to ourselves and to our fellow men.
Recognition of the falsity of material wealth as the standard of success goes hand in hand with the abandonment of the false belief that public office and high political position are to be valued only by the standards of pride of place and personal profit; and there must be an end to a conduct in banking and in business which too often has given to a sacred trust the likeness of callous and selfish wrongdoing. Small wonder that confidence languishes, for it thrives only on honesty, on honor, on the sacredness of obligations, on faithful protection, on unselfish performance; without them it cannot live.
Restoration calls, however, not for changes in ethics alone. This Nation asks for action, and action now.
Our greatest primary task is to put people to work. This is no unsolvable problem if we face it wisely and courageously. It can be accomplished in part by direct recruiting by the Government itself, treating the task as we would treat the emergency of a war, but at the same time, through this employment, accomplishing greatly needed projects to stimulate and reorganize the use of our natural resources.
Hand in hand with this we must frankly recognize the overbalance of population in our industrial centers and, by engaging on a national scale in a redistribution, endeavor to provide a better use of the land for those best fitted for the land. The task can be helped by definite efforts to raise the values of agricultural products and with this the power to purchase the output of our cities. It can be helped by preventing realistically the tragedy of the growing loss through foreclosure of our small homes and our farms. It can be helped by insistence that the Federal, State, and local governments act forthwith on the demand that their cost be drastically reduced. It can be helped by the unifying of relief activities which today are often scattered, uneconomical, and unequal. It can be helped by national planning for and supervision of all forms of transportation and of communications and other utilities which have a definitely public character. There are many ways in which it can be helped, but it can never be helped merely by talking about it. We must act and act quickly.
Finally, in our progress toward a resumption of work we require two safeguards against a return of the evils of the old order; there must be a strict supervision of all banking and credits and investments; there must be an end to speculation with other people’s money, and there must be provision for an adequate but sound currency.
There are the lines of attack. I shall presently urge upon a new Congress in special session detailed measures for their fulfillment, and I shall seek the immediate assistance of the several States.
Through this program of action we address ourselves to putting our own national house in order and making income balance outgo. Our international trade relations, though vastly important, are in point of time and necessity secondary to the establishment of a sound national economy. I favor as a practical policy the putting of first things first. I shall spare no effort to restore world trade by international economic readjustment, but the emergency at home cannot wait on that accomplishment.
The basic thought that guides these specific means of national recovery is not narrowly nationalistic. It is the insistence, as a first consideration, upon the interdependence of the various elements in all parts of the United States—a recognition of the old and permanently important manifestation of the American spirit of the pioneer. It is the way to recovery. It is the immediate way. It is the strongest assurance that the recovery will endure.
In the field of world policy I would dedicate this Nation to the policy of the good neighbor—the neighbor who resolutely respects himself and, because he does so, respects the rights of others—the neighbor who respects his obligations and respects the sanctity of his agreements in and with a world of neighbors.
If I read the temper of our people correctly, we now realize as we have never realized before our interdependence on each other; that we can not merely take but we must give as well; that if we are to go forward, we must move as a trained and loyal army willing to sacrifice for the good of a common discipline, because without such discipline no progress is made, no leadership becomes effective. We are, I know, ready and willing to submit our lives and property to such discipline, because it makes possible a leadership which aims at a larger good. This I propose to offer, pledging that the larger purposes will bind upon us all as a sacred obligation with a unity of duty hitherto evoked only in time of armed strife.
With this pledge taken, I assume unhesitatingly the leadership of this great army of our people dedicated to a disciplined attack upon our common problems.
Action in this image and to this end is feasible under the form of government which we have inherited from our ancestors. Our Constitution is so simple and practical that it is possible always to meet extraordinary needs by changes in emphasis and arrangement without loss of essential form. That is why our constitutional system has proved itself the most superbly enduring political mechanism the modern world has produced. It has met every stress of vast expansion of territory, of foreign wars, of bitter internal strife, of world relations.
It is to be hoped that the normal balance of executive and legislative authority may be wholly adequate to meet the unprecedented task before us. But it may be that an unprecedented demand and need for undelayed action may call for temporary departure from that normal balance of public procedure.
I am prepared under my constitutional duty to recommend the measures that a stricken nation in the midst of a stricken world may require. These measures, or such other measures as the Congress may build out of its experience and wisdom, I shall seek, within my constitutional authority, to bring to speedy adoption.
But in the event that the Congress shall fail to take one of these two courses, and in the event that the national emergency is still critical, I shall not evade the clear course of duty that will then confront me. I shall ask the Congress for the one remaining instrument to meet the crisis—broad Executive power to wage a war against the emergency, as great as the power that would be given to me if we were in fact invaded by a foreign foe.
For the trust reposed in me I will return the courage and the devotion that befit the time. I can do no less.
We face the arduous days that lie before us in the warm courage of the national unity; with the clear consciousness of seeking old and precious moral values; with the clean satisfaction that comes from the stern performance of duty by old and young alike. We aim at the assurance of a rounded and permanent national life.
We do not distrust the future of essential democracy. The people of the United States have not failed. In their need they have registered a mandate that they want direct, vigorous action. They have asked for discipline and direction under leadership. They have made me the present instrument of their wishes. In the spirit of the gift I take it.
In this dedication of a Nation we humbly ask the blessing of God. May He protect each and every one of us. May He guide me in the days to come.
Source: Franklin D. Roosevelt, Inaugural Address, March 4, 1933, as published in Samuel Rosenman, ed., The Public Papers of Franklin D. Roosevelt, Volume Two: The Year of Crisis, 1933 (New York: Random House, 1938), 11–16. Available here.
It was of course World War II that “solved” the problem of high unemployment, which was, by 1938, nearly as large as it was in 1932–despite the massive public works programs. Still, much of what the New Deal’s public works projects accomplished had lasting value: building parks, making art, creating and maintaining infrastructure, which likely would not have happened simply by private entrepreneurial activity. Therefore, it’s difficult to argue that such jobs took away from private sector employment during the dozen plus years of the Great Depression.
By contrast, the Bush/Obama/Reid/Grassley/Perry/GE gush for renewables, led by wind and solar, is indeed an Enronesque fall down the rathole of empty promises and lost opportunity: Immelt in Zombieland.
One comment: for the government to create a job, resources were taken from the private sector. Reduced private wealth means less spending and/or money in the bank for investment, both of which have (unseen) negative employment effects.
So the ‘lasting value’ New Deal projects came at the expense of private sector activity that would have had its own set of benefits–and been part of a real recovery (sustainable) to create more private and public (civil society) wealth going forward.
If government spending created wealth and prosperity then the late USSR would have been the most prosperous country on earth.
As to Keynesian economic theory, we will never have a definitive answer because no modern government can sit by and hope that market forces will enable a recovery at a rate that will satisfy the general population. I suppose one could argue that in 2008 we might have been better off simply allowing all the banks to fail. In some ways I would have rather seen that versus the outpouring of welfare aid to the gamblers on Wall Street. But it’s not going to happen. Not now, and not when the next financial crises arises as it surely will. Most people seem to completely forget the S & L failures of the late 80’s. And the latest failure will fade even faster. So with a mixed economy we will always have booms and busts. It is really not so different from a planned economy – both misallocate resources. The former results in a cycle of boom and bust and the latter in an economy that never reaches it’s potential. Economics has much more to do with the hopes and fears of its actors than all the charts and graphs the economists produce. My parents lived through the Great Depression and my father, a die hard Republican and conservative to the end, said it was the hope that FDR gave him and his family that really mattered.
While in business school as an undergrad I found it amusing that the assumption was everything could be boiled down to a problem of mathematics – the answers to be found in grand equations. At times it felt like I simply had 6 math classes a day. So I suggested to one of my Econ teachers that we break from all the math and have each student write a paper concerning real world economics. The next quarter I was surprised to hear students in his class complaining about having to write a paper. I was even more surprised to hear the prof was fired at the end of the year. I sincerely hope my suggestion didn’t have anything to do with it.
It should be intuitively obvious that there is much more to the success or failure of an economic system, or a country for that matter, than charts and graphs and mathematical theories. If it was all so cut and dry we surely would not see the booms and busts.