Thirty Failed Climate Forecasts (optimism please)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- January 2, 2026

Martin Ecclestone on social media (November 4, 2025) usefully provided a historical review of climate exaggeration. “Educate yourself,” he began. “Uninformed personal opinions don’t change facts.”

Here’s a list [30] of the major climate-change impacts that climate scientists predicted and that have already eventuated (observed and documented in the scientific literature and major assessments). I’ve kept each item short — if you want, I can expand any item with dates, regions, or citations.

1. Global mean surface temperature rise (planet warming).

2. More frequent and/or more intense heatwaves (land).

3. Ocean warming (upper ocean and deep ocean temperature increase).

4. Global sea-level rise (mean sea level increase).

5. Melting of glaciers and mountain ice (glacial retreat).

6. Loss and thinning of Arctic sea ice (decline in extent and volume).

7.…

More Tributes in the Energy and Climate Debate (Part II)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- December 30, 2025

Ed. Note: This repost from seven years ago (January 11, 2018) is reprinted for its relevancy today. What 12 or more would you add today? Here are some of mine: Craig Idso, Jr., Anthony Watts (WUWT), Kevin Dayaratna, and the other four DOE science study authors in addition to Judith Curry, profiled yesterday (John Christy, Steven Koonin, Ross McKittrick, Roy Spencer).

I previously recognized twelve individuals associated with free-market, classical-liberal energy analysis and advocacy. Here is a second “tribute” to those who have labored against the mainstream of Malthusianism and energy statism–and now find themselves with new opportunities to formulate, summarize, and promote pro-consumer, taxpayer-neutral energy policy.

This list is in alphabetical order. It is subjective and hardly exhaustive. Other candidates (such as the present writer) could also be included–and could be in a future iteration.…

Tribute for Twelve in the Energy/Climate Debate (Part I)

By Robert Bradley Jr. -- December 29, 2025

Ed. Note: This repost from seven years ago (January 4, 2018) is reprinted for its relevancy today. Part II tomorrow lists 12 more.

“And now that the Obama era has turned into the Age of Trump, each has reaped a modicum of fame (but not fortune!) by tiptoeing into the mainstream of today’s energy/climate debate.”

There are no MacArthur awards for our side of the energy and climate debate. But there are individuals that deserve a place in the history of energy thought and related public policy. These persons have blazed the trail where courage and patience, not only scholarship, were required. And now that the Obama era has turned into the Age of Trump, each has reaped a modicum of fame (but not fortune!) by tiptoeing into the mainstream of today’s energy/climate debate.…